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Quantum Supremacy Is Unlikely, Scientist Says

Abstract image of quantum computer.
(Image: © Shutterstock)

this fall to much fanfare that it had demonstrated "quantum supremacy" — that is, it performed a specific quantum computation far faster than the best classical computers could achieve. IBM , saying that its own classical supercomputer could perform the computation at and, therefore, the Google announcement should be taken "with a large dose of skepticism."

This wasn't the first time someone cast doubt on quantum computing. Last year, , a theoretical physicist at the University of Montpellier in France, offered a slew of technical reasons in an article in IEEE Spectrum, the flagship journal of electrical and computer engineering.

for , I believe that due to the inevitability of random errors in the hardware, useful quantum computers are unlikely to ever be built.

Related: 18 Times Quantum Physics Blew Our Minds

What's a quantum computer?

乐动体育开户To understand why, you need to understand how quantum computers work since they're fundamentally different from classical computers.

A classical computer uses 0s and 1s to store data. These numbers could be voltages on different points in a circuit. But a quantum computer works on quantum bits, also known as qubits. You can picture them as waves that are associated with amplitude and phase.

Qubits have special properties: They can exist in superposition, where they are both 0 and 1 at the same time, and they may be entangled so they share physical properties even though they may be separated by large distances. It's a behavior that does not exist in the world of classical physics. The with the quantum state.

Due to superposition, a quantum computer with 100 qubits can represent 2100 solutions simultaneously. For certain problems, this exponential parallelism can be harnessed to create a tremendous speed advantage. Some , for example.

There is another, narrower approach to quantum computing called , where qubits are used to speed up optimization problems. D-Wave Systems, based in Canada, has built optimization systems that use qubits for this purpose, but critics also claim that these systems .

Regardless, companies and countries are investing massive amounts of money in quantum computing. China has developed a , while the European Union has developed a €1 billion ($1.1 billion) . The United States' provides $1.2 billion to promote quantum information science over a five-year period.

乐动体育开户Breaking encryption algorithms is a powerful motivating factor for many countries — if they could do it successfully, it would give them an enormous intelligence advantage. But these investments are also promoting fundamental research in physics.

, including Intel and Microsoft in addition to Google and IBM. These companies are trying to build hardware that replicates the circuit model of classical computers. However, current experimental systems have less than 100 qubits. To achieve useful computational performance, you probably need machines with hundreds of thousands of qubits.

Google's Sycamore chip is kept cool inside their quantum cryostat.

Google's Sycamore chip is kept cool inside their quantum cryostat. (Image credit: Eric Lucero/Google, Inc.)

Noise and error correction

The mathematics that underpin quantum algorithms is well established, but there are daunting engineering challenges that remain.

For computers to function properly, they must correct all small random errors. In a quantum computer, such errors arise from the non-ideal circuit elements and the interaction of the qubits with the environment around them. For these reasons the qubits can lose coherency in a fraction of a second and, therefore, the computation must be completed in even less time. If random errors — which are inevitable in any physical system — are not corrected, the computer's results will be worthless.

乐动体育开户In classical computers, small noise is corrected by taking advantage of a concept known as thresholding. It works like the rounding of numbers. Thus, in the transmission of integers where it is known that the error is less than 0.5, if what is received is 3.45, the received value can be corrected to 3.

Related: The 11 Most Beautiful Mathematical Equations

Further errors can be corrected by introducing redundancy. Thus if 0 and 1 are transmitted as 000 and 111, then at most one bit-error during transmission can be corrected easily: A received 001 would be a interpreted as 0, and a received 101 would be interpreted as 1.

Quantum error correction codes are a generalization of the classical ones, but there are crucial differences. For one, the unknown qubits cannot be copied to incorporate redundancy as an error correction technique. Furthermore, errors present within the incoming data before the error-correction coding is introduced cannot be corrected.

Quantum cryptography

乐动体育开户While the problem of noise is a serious challenge in the implementation of quantum computers, it isn't so in quantum cryptography, where people are dealing with single qubits, for single qubits can remain isolated from the environment for significant amount of time. Using quantum cryptography, two users can exchange the very large numbers known as keys, which secure data, without anyone able to break the key exchange system. Such key exchange could help secure communications between satellites and naval ships. But the actual encryption algorithm used after the key is exchanged remains classical, and therefore the encryption is theoretically no stronger than classical methods.

Quantum cryptography is being commercially used in a limited sense for high-value banking transactions. But because the two parties must be authenticated using classical protocols, and since a chain is only as strong as its weakest link, it's not that different from existing systems. Banks are still using a classical-based authentication process, which itself could be used to exchange keys without loss of overall security.

乐动体育开户Quantum cryptography technology if it's going to become significantly more secure than existing cryptography techniques.

Commercial-scale quantum computing challenges

While quantum cryptography holds some promise if the problems of quantum transmission can be solved, I doubt the same holds true for generalized quantum computing. Error-correction, which is fundamental to a multi-purpose computer, is such a significant challenge in quantum computers that I don't believe they'll ever be built at a commercial scale.

[You're smart and curious about the world. So are The Conversation's authors and editors. .]

This article was originally published at  The publication contributed the article to Live Science's Expert Voices: Op-Ed & Insights.

  • Suncat2000
    Quantum computing will evolve just as all our other technologies have. The more research is done, the more we will be able to apply the knowledge we gain. But saying quantum computers will never be practical and current algorithms make it impossible are simply short-sighted opinions. We will never have a completely accurate value of pi, but that doesn't mean what we have isn't useful, does it.
    Reply
  • Odin
    i hope that quantum computers never pan out as they will be used to harm people, they will not be used to make life better, they will be used with the money and power to harm those without.
    Reply